From Microsoft!
 
We have determined that for full installs of Windows Vista SP1 (not updates) the grace period is actually starting at the time the build was staged for release, not when Windows was actually installed on the end user’s computer.  In these cases, the grace period is ending on July 14, 2009. 

We have developed a tool to fix this issue on affected machines and are currently testing it.  The tool extends the grace period through September.  Our plan is to have it available by the end of next week. 

We thank you for your continued patience.  If you have questions, please direct them to this e-mail address. 

Thanks,
Windows Security Center Team

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